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The U.S. government shutdown ends, but non-farm and CPI data are still difficult to release

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Group]: The US government has ended the shutdown, but non-agricultural and CPI data are still difficult to release". Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

XM Review: The U.S. government shutdown has ended, but non-agricultural employment and CPI data are still difficult to release

XM Review: The October non-farm employment report and CPI data have been delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown. Yesterday, US President Trump signed a temporary funding bill, ending the 43-day US government shutdown. The bill will provide funding for most federal agencies at current levels until January 30, 2026, which means that starting in February next year, if the House and Senate still fail to pass the annual budget, the U.S. federal government will be shut down for the second time. The end of this shutdown may mean that delayed economic data will be released at a later date.

According to Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council, due to the government shutdown, the non-farm employment survey in October was not fully conducted, which resulted in only half of the October non-farm employment report being released. The closely watched unemployment rate data will not be released. White House Press Secretary Levitt said bluntly: (October non-farm payrolls report and CPI data) will probably never be released.

The non-farm payrolls report and CPI data are key economic indicators for the Federal Reserve to make monetary policy decisions. The October data is sandwiched between the October and December interest rate decisions and is extremely important. If employment and inflation data for October are missing or incompletely released. Fed officials will have difficulty obtaining reliable data to adjust monetary policy. Although small non-farm ADP data, challenger employment data, etc. are an alternative, data from the private agency Bureau of Statistics often cannot accurately reflect the overall situation in the United States.

According to the latest news from the U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, September’s non-farm payroll employment report was supposed to be released on October 3.Because the data collection was xmmen.completed before the government shutdown, it can be released as soon as possible after the department resumes work. A release is currently planned for this Friday (today), but uncertainty remains.

▲XM Chart

The lack of the October non-farm payrolls report may be a good thing for the US macro economy. The U.S. labor market has gotten worse since Trump implemented his aggressive immigration policies. Starting in May, the monthly non-agricultural employment population began to fall below 100,000 and has not recovered yet. There was even negative employment growth in June. According to current trends, the U.S. job market situation will only get worse in September and October. The lack of a non-farm payrolls report in October prevented the bad data from impacting market confidence, which was bullish for the U.S. dollar index.

XM risk warning, disclaimer, special statement: The market is risky, so investment needs to be cautious. The above content only represents the personal views of analysts and does not constitute any operational advice. Please do not rely on this report as your sole reference. Analysts' views may change at different times and will be updated without notice.

The above content is all about "[XM Group]: The U.S. government shutdown has ended, non-agricultural and CPI data are still difficult to release". It was carefully xmmen.compiled and edited by the XM foreign exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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The U.S. government shutdown ends, but non-farm and CPI data are still difficult to release

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market analysis

The U.S. government shutdown ends, but non-farm and CPI data are still difficult to release

Related News

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